这两种论调看似矛盾，其实只是“转型阵痛”的一体两面。传统软件恐慌等于旧价值体系的瓦解，英伟达疑虑等于新价值体系的不确定性，两者共同指向一个中间状态：在“Agent经济学”被验证之前，没有安全资产，只有“相对不贵的押注”。
Whatever the case, a wounded ISS will have been fairly rotten luck. Back in 2017, scientists from NASA and a Russian space contractor put the odds of this worst-case scenario at 1 in 121. As of late 2025, NASA told WIRED the risk of debris causing a depressurization event in any six-month period was somewhere between 1 in 36 and 1 in 170.
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